{
  "schema": "hella.exp013.abstention-to-pacing.v1",
  "live_write_exposure_inputs": {
    "high_writes": 2.0,
    "abstain_writes": 4.0,
    "safe_incident_proxy_writes": 12.0
  },
  "tri_state": [
    {
      "low": 0.45,
      "high": 0.6,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.04232,
      "benign_pacing_rate": 0.12803,
      "benign_unrestricted_rate": 0.82965,
      "incident_immediate_freeze_rate": 0.62409,
      "incident_pacing_rate": 0.34255,
      "incident_unrestricted_proxy_rate": 0.03336,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 3.0187
    },
    {
      "low": 0.45,
      "high": 0.65,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.01614,
      "benign_pacing_rate": 0.15421,
      "benign_unrestricted_rate": 0.82965,
      "incident_immediate_freeze_rate": 0.43566,
      "incident_pacing_rate": 0.53098,
      "incident_unrestricted_proxy_rate": 0.03336,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 3.3956
    },
    {
      "low": 0.5,
      "high": 0.65,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.01614,
      "benign_pacing_rate": 0.11063,
      "benign_unrestricted_rate": 0.87323,
      "incident_immediate_freeze_rate": 0.43566,
      "incident_pacing_rate": 0.46988,
      "incident_unrestricted_proxy_rate": 0.09446,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 3.8844
    },
    {
      "low": 0.5,
      "high": 0.7,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.0043,
      "benign_pacing_rate": 0.12247,
      "benign_unrestricted_rate": 0.87323,
      "incident_immediate_freeze_rate": 0.26253,
      "incident_pacing_rate": 0.64301,
      "incident_unrestricted_proxy_rate": 0.09446,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 4.2306
    }
  ],
  "binary": [
    {
      "threshold": 0.4,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.23115,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.99137,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 2.0863
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.45,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.17035,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.96664,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 2.3336
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.12677,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.90554,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 2.9446
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.55,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.08257,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.79006,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 4.0994
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.04232,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.62409,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 5.7591
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.65,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.01614,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.43566,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 7.6434
    },
    {
      "threshold": 0.7,
      "benign_hard_freeze_rate": 0.0043,
      "incident_freeze_rate": 0.26253,
      "expected_incident_post_trigger_writes_proxy": 9.3747
    }
  ],
  "truth_boundary": "Mixed-evidence policy analysis using perturbed lab state frequencies and live disposable-iSCSI median write exposure; safe-state exposure is proxied by the 80 ms unpaced delay."
}